Real Estate Investing Podcast

2021 housing crash? Chat with Memphis Real Estate Investor, Ted Huntington
Posted Monday, August 9th, 2021 by Richard Roy

Real estate investor, Ted Huntington, describes himself as a novice investor. Aaron Ivey sits down to ask Ted about his take on the current housing market and if he thinks we’ll see a 2021 housing crash, and Ted shares what he’s learned through his purchase of 6 single-family rental homes in Memphis, TN.

Aaron: So on today’s show, we have a special guest. This is somebody who I would consider to be a friend, and he came into investment real estate… How many months ago was it Ted?

Ted: I would say, you know, it’s been a year at least, so pretty recently.

Aaron: Yeah. And the cool thing, you know, hopefully for the listener about Ted as you enjoy our conversation, is that Ted is really smart. Early on in our conversation, Ted called me or we were connected through the realtor that was working with Ted that you’ve heard on this podcast and he said, hey, you’ve got to talk to this guy and I’m not going to give away to the listener hat it is that you do for a living, but I find what your line of work just really interesting and our initial conversation, I think lasted at least an hour. And then there was probably a follow-up 30 minute conversation after that and we just immediately clicked, I felt. So this is Ted Huntington. Could you tell the listeners what it is you do for a living?

Ted: Yeah, I basically have a bachelor’s degree in computer engineering and I work at the University of California, Irvine, in the library’s I.T. department. So I do I.T.

Aaron: But it’s so much more than that, because, to me at least, I’ve had a lot of friends that worked in IT but they weren’t I don’t think managing access to the diverse range of information that you are managing. I feel like working inside of the live library information system is completely different than, say, working at a courthouse or working for a corporation. Am I wrong in that?

Ted: No, that’s accurate. I think the University, I love working in the University setting. There’s a lot of intellectuals, a lot of people interested in learning and then in the library, there’s just a ton of information and we help people to access that information. I mean, more and more of it is now in the electronic realm, but we still do have actual physical books and journals there. But yeah, we just seem really a massive transition from physical information books and so on to ebooks and electronic information. Everything now is electronic. It’s just really an amazing change.

Aaron: It has been a tremendous transition. I am married to a bibliophile, I think that is the word. Is that right? And we have several built-in bookcases all over our house and she is constantly acquiring more physical books for her to read, for the children to have access to, and to put down and pick back up again whenever she likes. So we’re one of the rare families out there that I think are still purchasing actual, written books from Amazon or Barnes & Noble or whatever.

Ted: I don’t think you’re alone in that. I am also kind of a book collector myself. I especially love old books that are important to the history of science in particular. To me I think that not only are they incredibly good reads and they only are in print, I mean some of them I suppose are now in Ebook, but some of them have been out of print for a long time, but also I think they will be collectors’ items that some point because it’s a bit of history. 

The book and a lot of these more famous books and so some of them are lesser known but important. At least in my thinking.

Aaron: Right, and I would agree. It’s interesting to watch what it is that my wife will download on an e-reader or on a Kindle. It’s almost always fiction or she likes a lot of mystery, like older mysteries, and she’s very interested in certain histories. But the books she purchases for us to own are usually about early childhood development or teenager development. It’s she wants to actually hold the things in her hands that influence the way that she interacts with the world in her daily life. And so it’s been very interesting to see what it is and how she makes that decision and what she wants to hold and then what she wants to download. 

Ted: Yeah, I still buy books, even real estate books because I want to have a book for before I go to bed and reading or something. It’s nice to have a physical book. I don’t want an e-reader, I don’t know. It’s something about it. A physical book is just a little bit more familiar to me, I guess. 

Aaron: Well, do you happen to have a favorite real estate book that really inspired you to get involved more in investment real estate?

Ted: I’ve read a lot of the more famous books like Rich Dad, Poor Dad, and you know, there’s some that Bigger Pockets has produced a few good books. But there’s also like, even some older, I can’t remember the names, but like just old school real estate investors, even from the 1950s, and so on. I’ve read one of those books and I found it really fascinating how much cheaper houses were. They’re talking about $20,000 and $10,000 houses and doing the fixer-uppers back then and how to find a good fixer-upper. I really don’t have anyone in particular, but I tried to read all of them, especially where there are people who are doing their own property management, and their experiences and their hints. They always have helpful hints. Like, some people have found the free version of team viewer and so on, so they can remote desktop to their home computer when they’re on the go. Little text tips and techniques about tax auctions – I didn’t know that much about those – and dealing with auctions and other avenues. The many ways that people can get deals in real estate. There’s just a ton of different techniques and strategies. My strategy of course, is very, very tame and it’s kind of a lazy person’s technique. 

Aaron: What is that? What is your strategy?

Ted: My strategy is mostly, I’m a buy and holder of mostly turnkey properties. I don’t really do fix and flip or fix and rent, even though there’s a lot more money in it. I just kind of like to get into a property and start collecting rent and with minor repairs. I’m willing to pay a little bit more for a nice property. So I’m kind of taking the easy way out, but for me, time is very precious. So I really don’t want to be spending a lot of time with contractors and working with rehabs and things like that. I’m a little bit older, so I’m kind of more just hoping for the turnkey, all ready-to-roll type of investment property.

Aaron: The amazing thing is you don’t sound older. I’m not sure what you would qualify as older. You don’t have to tell us your age, but you just come across as very energetic and optimistic about your view of real estate and your involvement and interaction with it, which is very refreshing. 

Ted: Yeah. Thanks. I am 52. I won’t hide it. But yeah, I think age also is just your perspective. I really am a lover of life and embrace challenges. So yeah, thank you. I try to keep a keen mind and keep my mind active and really interested in history and current events. 

Aaron: Can you tell us about the experiences that you’ve had this far here in Memphis, just in general? How’ve they been? I would assume they’ve been positive.

Ted: Yeah, let me tell you the story about how I got connected with you. I wanted to start investing in Memphis. I have seen another investor in Memphis who does a lot of stuff. He has a YouTube channel and he does a lot of Memphis investment and I thought, yeah, that really sounds like a good place to invest. I did a lot of research with Zillow data and found that Memphis prices had been appreciating and all the major zip codes there in the last 3 years and that the rent to value property ratio was high, and so it was a good place to invest. Also, I enjoyed the weather. I think Memphis is in the southern tier of the United States, so it’s better. So I set about trying to find property managers and, I think I called and talked to every single property manager in Memphis, and I kind of sized them up on their different policies. There’s a lot of different things and issues involved with property management. And, you know, they have to have good communication, they have to be on top of things, and I had a lot of different parameters. It’s been so long that I don’t really remember all of them. But I went through and I ranked EPM way up there. I thought you guys really have a good professional setup. Ultimately, I found Brett, who I enjoy and is basically my real estate agent in Memphis. I’m happy with him and your property managers, and so that really worked out and I’m very happy with you all. That’s pretty much how I got started there and just started acquiring properties.

Aaron: I really appreciate what you have just said about property management. I was speaking to another investor, who’s about to come on with us. She’s out of Utah, and we were just chatting about property management and investment real estate, and I was speaking to her about a specific topic, some of the challenges that we’ve had during covid with this sort of uncertainty as to, whether or not, there is a requirement of a tenant to pay their rent, if they’re not able to pay their rent, we talked about the private contract that the landlord has with the tenant and should the CDC be able to step in and interrupt that if the tenant is, for whatever reason, be considered to be at risk for being displaced. We just had this incredibly detailed conversation about, you know, the federal government versus contract laws versus real estate ownership, and I finally just stopped and said, listening to myself, only a landlord would nerd out about this stuff. I think about this all the time, I send myself articles all the time that I find online, and so we really love what we do. And I’m grateful that you’ve picked up on that.

Ted: I think it takes a certain kind of mindset to do what you do there and I think it takes somebody who’s really good with management, in particular.

Aaron: Thank you. There’s definitely a translation that goes on for the homeowner. So for the listeners, I’ve never met Ted in person. I look forward to it one day, just coming out to Southern California and just kind of seeing what’s there and meeting some investors. Ted is definitely at the top of the list just because I like you and I have already talked about meeting at one point. Having a cup of coffee or a beer, and just get to see your work, your world, which I think could be very interesting.

Ted: Yeah, absolutely. Or in Memphis. I may find myself in Memphis at some point, please.

Aaron: Yeah. I think if we can get through, you know, fall of ‘21 and past the Spring of ‘22 and sort of work our way through this new stage of the pandemic, then, I think we’re going to be in a much better place next year. At least my fingers are crossed for that.

Ted: Me too.

Aaron: Can you tell me a little bit about the properties that you own right now? It sounds like you’ve worked with Brett before, to acquire them, and I think your financing strategies are actually very interesting.

Ted: I pay all cash. I currently have 6 single-family houses. They’re all rented out currently in Memphis and I tried to choose areas that I think are good up-and-coming, sort of gentrifying areas. Mostly it’s around the Egypt area, kind of where Nike and Amazon are. Just single-family houses and they’re all currently rented. I’m sort of a newbie to investing. I have kind of a funny story, I mean, in 2005 I was working in the business office in the library for a very astute business office manager who told me, with housing prices in 2005 going up so much, you should really go and buy a house. I said, well, you know, houses are so super expensive. I can’t possibly afford one.  She said, buy a condo. Well what’s a condo I asked? I don’t even know. This is how clueless I was in 2005. I didn’t even know that condos are like an apartment but you own it. That really kind of began my investing career. I bought a condo, and then ultimately years later I rented that one out and bought a house. Then I sold that and bought more rentals and bought my rentals in Memphis. So I’m still really an amateur rookie, newbie investor. But I wish I’d got into real estate in my 20s. I honestly was clueless for so long that now finally, I am starting to realize what a valuable thing investing in real estate is, especially in Memphis.

Aaron: Absolutely, I do want to point something out that you’ve said that I think most people may be in a different place in their investing career than you are, and I’m gonna make this point. We know that the majority of our listeners, even if that majority is just 51%, are people who are considering getting started in real estate and they don’t yet own investment properties and they haven’t really, you know, that their listening, they’re reading some books, they’re reading some blogs, maybe they’re getting their financing together, but they still haven’t taken that leap. So something that you’ve done actually makes you at least an intermediate in investment real estate, and that you’ve actually done it. I mean what you’ve done does take risk and it takes a leap of faith, and the fact that you’ve actually acquired 6 properties in about a year? That is incredible. 

Ted: Yeah, you have to step out of your comfort zone a little bit and I don’t think anybody will ever get any gain if they’re not willing to step out of their comfort zone a little bit to learn something new. I think that’s really the key you have to work, you have to break a sweat, get on the phone, and start feeling it out. That’s how. Through talking to the various property managers around Memphis, I started to feel more comfortable about going forward. I think you all answered every one of my questions, no matter how small. So, that’s the key. Getting out of that comfort zone and giving it a try, even with just one property, and seeing how it goes. It’s really a matter of doing a little bit of work, so you feel comfortable with what you’re going to be doing and learning the process. There’s a little bit of learning involved, you know, there’s a learning curve, but it’s I think ultimately worth it because there are so many people who are afraid of even starting up that mountain. Right?

Aaron: Absolutely. You know, like it’s kind of like what we talked about. No. I was talking to somebody else. Again this was another investor that I was speaking to today, right before speaking to you. Investing in real estate is a lot like something I did recently, which I know tons of people have done, it’s not that big of a deal. About 4 weeks ago, my son and I climbed to Pikes Peak in Colorado Springs, and the initial part of the climb, which is the first 6 miles from about 5,000 feet above sea level, all the way up to about 8,500 feet above sea level. It was pretty easy. Then as we continued to passed the halfway point, it became kind of difficult until we got to the top. It’s 6.5 to 7 hours to do the whole length of it. Ultimately, we were at 14,500 feet above sea level, and the view was incredible. The headache was unbelievable, but it was so totally worth it. But that first step, like you’re talking about, that’s it. It might even be the most difficult step to take.

Ted: Exactly.

Aaron: You’ve said just now that you’ve even invested in California, you’ve had a condominium and a house, I don’t know if you’re in a house right now or not, but we know that you’ve got some experience there in California. How would you compare owning real estate in California versus owning real estate here in Memphis?

Ted: Well, I personally only want to own real estate in California in which I will be living and occupying because I am only going to be investing in other states because there are big differences between California and Tennessee, and a lot of the other Midwest states. California is very sort of more tenant friendly and Tennessee is more landlord friendly just in terms of investing. But then also the ROI in California, well, for one thing, there really isn’t one! I mean, the price of real estate in California is just so unbelievably high that it just makes absolutely no sense whatsoever to buy investment properties, unless you’re really a multi-millionaire. The Midwest is far more of a normal market for somebody with a smaller amount of income looking to get into and start investing in rentals. I far prefer Memphis. I learned a valuable lesson investing in California. I had my condo and the rent coming in could not even cover the property tax and the mortgage payment, and the insurance, and so on. So I was losing, I think, a couple hundred every month and it wasn’t cash flowing in any way. It’s really the exact opposite in Memphis. You know, you can get into a property without too much and the rent will be enough to make it cash flowing. Property taxes are not outrageous, insurance is not too high, so it’s just all around a no-brainer. I tell people, and I have friends, who invest in California, have rentals in California, and I just think it’s really a losing battle for most people who are not billionaires. 

Aaron: Yeah. So we’ve found the same here. When I first got started in investment real estate here in Memphis, this would have been around 1997 or 1998 when my ear was to the ground, then I got my license in 2000, and really started assisting investors. One of the things that I really noticed about the Memphis area, is that there were more people from outside of the Memphis, Tennessee area that were investing in Memphis than there were people that lived in my own community, and I began to sort of learn why that was. I think that people from outside, especially and specifically Southern California – at least 40% of all of our investors live in Southern California – and I think that they’ve realized for a long time and had realized the same thing, which is that the value-to-rent or the rent-to-value is so much better in the Memphis, Tennessee area, even back before the boom. This most recent housing boom that we’re in right now, which kind of started around 2015-2016, you were still able to get almost a one-to-one ratio. Let’s say that you had a mortgage on the property and it was an 80% mortgage. You were still getting 10 to 20% above the total cost of ownership, and that would have been, your mortgage, your taxes, and any interest that you’re paying: 10 to 20% above that. Now, what’s happened, of course, here in Memphis, one of the things that’s driving rents up all over the country, is that even though interest rates are at an all-time low that normal owner occupant is having such a difficult time, finding affordable property to purchase here in Memphis. So, they’re resorting to renting, because they still want to have that homeownership experience. They’re renting property instead of being able to purchase it, because they’re honestly fighting investors for these same properties. On the rent growth point, I want to make sure that we get to today and have a conversation about tha. Again, homewire.com had an article that was released this morning and it talked about the rent growth capacity for the remainder of 2021. And it’s almost exactly like that figure that I gave before about housing value growth being 12%, for the year and how this is the first time that a number like that has been achieved since 1979, and rents are the same way. We are experiencing what you kind of touched on earlier, that sort of inflationary factor. We’re seeing nationwide projected rent growths, which will, in essence, put all of our rental properties at an annual rate of about 10 to 12% overall increase from January to December, 2021, which seems small. But as a property manager, here’s a neat thing. One of the things I’ve been doing lately is just asking for more rent. These properties that are coming in the buyers will say, well I think I can get 12 or 13 hundred dollars per month for this property, and I’ll say, you know what, why don’t we go and ask for 1500, you know. Let’s just go for it and see what the market will support. I’m finding that the market for now at least, is supporting these inflated rental amounts.

Ted: Yeah. It doesn’t surprise me. Absolutely rents are going up. I currently rent right now here in California. My rent just went up. So yeah, it’s not strictly in Memphis. It’s happening all over.

Aaron: Did you say that you own investment properties in other locations other than Memphis? 

Ted: No. Only Memphis currently. I am looking maybe to branch out sometime in the future, but pretty much Memphis is it for me right now.

Aaron: That’s awesome. Do you have a vision for next year? Like you’re a well-read person? I know that you’re a constant student. Just like me. You’ve got to have been reading articles projecting, you know what the real estate market is going to look like in 2022. Do you have any read on that personally?

Ted: Yes, mostly it’s the most important for me in terms of how home prices are going to look here in California…I’m really waiting. Is there going to be a correction or not? I think it will be revealed by 2022 if we are going to see any fallout really from COVID or not, and that’s kind of what I’m thinking. I may get into a house or myself and I’m kind of holding off because it’s going to be a big house payment and you know, it’s going to take all my resources to buy a house at these prices. But yeah, I mean, my plan for 2022 is to buy a house for myself. Most likely, depending on market conditions, if there’s no real serious change, I will be going ahead and buying a house. But if we see prices starting to correct, then I will wait and see how far they may go down if they do. But yeah, then probably I’ll resume getting back into Memphis rentals. More Memphis rentals. That’s kind of my plan for 2022.

Aaron: Well, I think it’s brilliant. We’ve had several investors this year that have done very different, more imaginative, financing techniques and strategies to improve their own home, you know, or apartment wherever it is that they’re living or that they want to live on the back of the value growth that they’ve experienced with their Memphis properties. 

Ted: Yeah, absolutely. Yeah, I can see doing, maybe some cash out refinancing on some of my properties. Currently I’ve only financed one. All the rest, I own, all cash, and they have appreciated. So yeah, that’s a great option if you want to generate some cash for maybe another purchase. That’s a great way to do that. 

Aaron: Yeah, I really have no analogy for it but, for the listeners that don’t yet own investment real estate, we’ve got a little bit of a story to tell you, a secret to tell you. Being in the game of investment real estate. Being in that world is what makes you money. You can’t make money off of real estate unless you own it. For instance, a lot of my investors that owned property all the way back, purchasing it all the way back into 2002, 2005. These people who like Ted, purchased and held these properties, during more normal economies, they experienced all the benefits of investment real estate ownership, without seeing this massive value growth. So for investors looking to realize that cash, and take advantage of that value growth, that purchased say around 2014 through 2017. So many of those investors said, you know what, this has been great. I’ve really enjoyed the last 6 years of owning this real estate and I’m out. They sold, and man, they left the experience with smiles on their faces. They were so pleased that they were able to double their money in 6 years or in 8 years and, for my investors that purchased 20 years ago, of course, they’ve more than tripled their money. Ted, I totally think you should do that. I think you should cash out refi wherever you want to be, it’s great interest rates, you’ve made great value growth on these things. You gotta do it!

Ted: Yeah, absolutely. It’s the smartest, smart move.

Aaron: Yeah. And you know, that kind of dovetails back to what I said before. I actually said these words, I said investing in real estate is hard. And what I meant by that is, is this. I’ve got a mutual fund, right? And you probably do too. You’ve got some sort of employer funded investment because of where you work and they feed that maximum matchable amount into your 401k or your mutual fund, your simple or traditional IRA, whatever it is, and they do that every year. You never see it. They take it out of your paycheck and that’s easy, right? I’ve got to tell you, even in the midst of this amazing economy, I’ve been looking at the Dow and watching these value growths, and then going over into my portfolio and looking to see how that’s benefiting me, and really there’s no major year-over-year benefit. It’s not as you know, the high highs and the low lows that are possible in real estate. I do think that real estate is definitely an investment worthy of somebody like you, and your intellect, because you’re able to engage it, manipulate it, imagine the possibilities of it, reorganize it if you want to, take out the value, infuse more value. So let’s try to end on a sort of a visionary note if you will for 2022, 2023, and let me tell you what, I see, and I’d love to hear your thoughts on it. We do have a coming correction. There are several articles out there from the Washington Post, the New York Times, homewire.com, and politico etc. All kinds of different websites that are out there that are talking about the looming housing crisis. And so, from Memphis Tennessee, which there’s only a million people here, what we consider what that housing crisis will look like, here’s what we see. We don’t necessarily see a correction in pricing. We do see a softening in the contract negotiation capacity of the seller. So basically, the sellers are not going to just be able to ask for whatever they want and get it. Sellers are going to have to have to accept negotiations that are at or around asking price or below asking price. Also, they’re going to have to give concessions and maybe even make repairs. So that’s new. Right now, what we’ve been saying nationwide is that sellers just get to ask for whatever they want, and they get it. So, the first thing is that the market is going to soften a little bit. The second thing, of course, is that as these eviction protection laws or whatever we want to call them expire, you’re going to see foreclosures. You’re going to see houses that are locked up by tenants not paying their rent, refusing to move, not being allowed in the courts to be evicted. They’re finally going to be loosened up. There’s going to be more liquidity in the courtroom and we’re going to see so many more properties available for purchase. That’s kind of what we’re seeing happening starting in 2022, unless there’s some sort of major change that we can’t see coming.

Ted: That’s great to hear. So, do you think there’s going to be price reductions? Or do you think prices are just gonna kind of hold and there’s just gonna be softening in negotiation?

Aaron: So I think real estate is stratified, if you will, right? Like, I can just imagine a property near UC Berkeley that you could be interested in purchasing. I imagine it being like a 1930s built bungalow or some sort of really awesome, older construction type property. I could be wrong. I don’t know what Berkeley’s like.

Ted: Yeah, they have older buildings there that just go for exorbitant prices.

Aaron: Right? And I’m sure they’re gorgeous.

Ted: It’s in the eye of the beholder. I think it’s older houses. Yeah, I’m sure some of them are. Yeah absolutely.

Aaron: Yeah. So, if the same house there that you might be looking to purchase is in sort of the upper middle income to upper income strata, here in Memphis. So you asked if the average prices were going to drop or if there’s going to be a softening in pricing, I would say on the lower income strata, absolutely. One of the reasons why. I know some of the properties you purchased. In your price range, sellers are able to get more for those properties than ever before and what I believe is going to end up happening, is that the actual real value of those properties is going to soften to where investors aren’t going to be as willing to spend the full asking amount. They’re going to go in with home inspections, there’s going to be more time for the buyer to be able to get a feel for the property before they make an offer. Right now there’s just no time, right? You have just got to jump in, you have to put out that repair contingency, an inspection contingency, and if the house is full of holes, then you say, you know what? I’m not even going to negotiate. I’m just going to walk away because that’s the smart thing to do in this kind of market. So I think that the buyer is going to have more time and that’s probably the most important thing and I think sellers are going to be willing to wait for the buyer to make decisions, because right now sellers are in a position to where if you don’t purchase it and move quickly and have all cash, with no inspection contingency, and you just want to close in one week, that’s the kind of buyer that sellers are looking for. So I think they’re going to be more sellers that want to say, hey, you know, let me really kick the tires on this house and get a feel for it. I do think, you know, just talking about strata, I think that the upper income housing in Memphis and the surrounding areas, which really start around 750, three quarters of a million, all the way up to 2 and 3 million dollar properties, on average, and of course there are palaces that are so much more expensive. I think that is really where you’re gonna see pricing soften because there’s just not going to be as much of a demand for that type of construction and, in the middle income housing, it’s going to be the same as it always is, just very competitive. So depending on what type of investor you are and how much money you want to spend, and all of that, you’re going to  experience something different within that. Here’s the good news! I want to end on a high note, and then if there’s anything else you’d like to say, I’d love to hear it. The good news is this… History has proven that rent amounts and the amount of money that the average tenant is willing to pay for real estate, and in our case it’s single-family income, is a trailing indicator of overall economic condition. Several articles that I’ve recently read talked about how rents are following the increase in property values, right? Because rent’s are speculative; they are so much more speculative than housing value. You know, housing value is based on the recent sales, recent appraisals, recent refinancing, and recent financing, so that’s a pretty set figure, how much that property’s actually worth. Well, rents are speculative. They’ve got to either come up or drop based on what the buyer is willing to pay. So what’s happening right now in the Memphis area at least, is that there is no product to rent. Basically you can almost ask for whatever you want. As it is a trailing indicator, even when there’s a softening in the market 6 months, 12 months, to 18 months from now, rents should remain high for the next, I’m going to speculate, 18 to 30 months if there’s a correction. So for people who, like you, own real estate, I would say let’s renew that lease, let’s increase that rent, let’s really take advantage of this great economy.

Ted: Yeah. That’s the big question. Is this bull market going to continue in 2022? You know, one interesting thing if you look at the numbers, I’m really hoping that we see a lot more inventory coming online on to the MLS and for sale, because I was hearing somewhere that in 2020, a million people, like the number of people who list every year is very kind of constant, and there was sort of a shortage of a million people in 2020 who chose not to list their property and then add that to the number of people who have not been paying their mortgage who are in forbearance, which is maybe another million or something, just for the United States.  What are they going to do when they come out of this forbearance? Are they going to sell? What’s going to happen? Are they going to get a loan modification or whatever? I think there’s a good chance and I’m really hoping that we’re going to see more inventory. Now, can this bull market of buyers absorb that? That’s a good question. I mean there’s a lot of demand, interest rates are very low and so, it may well be that yes, there’s an increase in inventory, a lot of more houses come online, but the demand is so bullish and so high that it really will not even make a dent in housing prices. I think we’ll see that in 2022 and 2023, hopefully.

Aaron:  Yeah, I think we’ll see it. I think when we get into the second quarter especially we’re able to look back on Q4 of this year, 2021, and Q1 of next year, we will see a two-quarter trend of more properties on the market. I know you’re probably reading this or watching this but listeners, I just want to encourage you to look up the National Association of Realtors data that’s out there. It’s free for you to get. They release it every quarter. For us realtors, they release it every month. They’ll tell  how many new units were put on the market, listed and whether or not that’s gone up and down. The same thing for new construction that’s also very informative to a buyer for what the climate is right then, and to watch that. I actually agree with you that I think you’re gonna see a ton of new property on the market and, on the matter of forbearance, another statistic that I read this morning was that right now anywhere from 0.9 to 1.9%, of all residences are in some form of forbearance.

Ted: It’s not a small number. 

Aaron: No, it’s massive.

Ted: Yeah.

Aaron: And so, just depending on how those people deal with the fact that they’re no longer protected from foreclosure or from some sort of debt collection action against them, it will inform the open market very quickly. One last thing before we go. I hope that we can begin to talk about how to take advantage of the upcoming foreclosure acquisition opportunities that are there. You know, they won’t be amazing deals with the foreclosures, but they could be 5 to 10, to 15% below market, and that there’s a lot of room right there. So that’s going to be fun to watch.

Ted: Absolutely.

Aaron: Well, thank you so much for your time. I know you said it’s more or less on your lunch break, which is great. So, I apologize if you’re clocking back in late, but, thank you so much for coming on.

Ted: Sure, thank you for having me Aaron. Great to chat with you.

Aaron: Always a pleasure here as well and I look forward to talking to you more soon.


Ted: For sure. Thank you Aaron. Have a good day.

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Published in Real Estate Investing Podcast.


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